Achievements and Plans
Elliottician has now entered the sixth phase (Phase Theta) of its 15 year plan to
Master Elliott Wave.
What if computers were so powerful they could predict the future?
Alpha Phase: Standard Elliott Wave Algorithms Coded: Completed 1995
For the first time in history, Elliott Wave was fully and comprehensively coded
into a computer program.
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Written by: Richard Swannell.
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Lines of computer code: 250,000.
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Time to complete: Six intensive months.
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Released 1995.
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Named: Elliott Wave Forecaster, then later renamed to the Elliott Wave Analyzer.
Beta Phase: Learning from the Best: Completed 1998
The world’s most renowned Elliott Wave practitioner, Bob Prechter, worked with Richard
Swannell for 18 months updating the software’s Elliott Wave algorithms to accurately
reflect Mr. Prechter’s unmatched personal knowledge of the Elliott Wave Principle.
Released in 1998 by Elliott Wave International under the name of WinWaves.
Gamma Phase: Learning from the Market. Completed 2003
Gamma introduced the Elliott Research Project (ERP) using the power of distributed
computing to compile the world’s first and largest database of Elliott Wave patterns.
The software was then changed so that it used statistical analysis of real world
patterns in the database (rather than static algorithms) to identify and forecast
Elliott Waves. This enabled the software to adapt to real market conditions rather
than being confined to human observation of Elliott Wave. The software was released
under the name of the Refined Elliott Trader in 2003.
Delta Phase: Adapting to the Market. First released (and Ongoing) Jan 2007
The ERP2 project advanced the ERP concept by creating separate databases of Elliott
Wave patterns in different markets – allowing RET to tune itself to patterns found
in specific markets and adapt to Elliott Wave patterns as they change over time.
A range of market specific PowerPacks for RET were introduced early 2007.
Zeta Phase: Elliott Confirmation Signals: First released (and Ongoing) July 2007
Using the ERP2 databases of real Elliott Wave patterns, Elliottician established
a new research project to find specific technical indicators that help identify
the end of Elliott Waves. This is another world-first that now gives Elliottician
clients advanced knowledge of market turns.
Theta Phase: Fine Tuning Forecasts. Released August 2007
Theta research involves back-testing large numbers of Elliott Wave patterns while
varying the relative weighting between price, time, structure, volume and other
parameters – so as to find the best combination that consistently produce the most
accurate Elliott Wave forecasts. The initial Elliott Engine weighing values were
simply “educated guesses” because there was no technology available to carry out
back-testing of large numbers of Elliott Wave forecasting. All the software for
this study is encoded within the ERP2 Screen-Savers. Theta re-orders the list of
Elliott Wave counts that RET finds during analysis, so that the most accurate forecasts
are more often found at or near the top of the list – being the Preferred Count
and First Alternates. This study is to be continued with each individual market
specific Power Pack to constantly improve RET’s ability to forecast each specific
market.
Sigma Phase: Full Integration. Completed: 2008
All Elliottician’s technology combined into one intelligent, self improving, market
adapting, comprehensive Elliott Wave technical analysis recognition and forecasting
system called RET Professional that truly answers the question: “What if computers
were so powerful they could predict the future?”
Omega Phase: Automated Trading Integration. Expected release in 2010
RET-Omega will be a fully automated system that Elliottician uses to manage funds
with minimal human input. Elliottician will develop, refine and update these new
technologies indefinitely into the future so that Refined Elliott Wave, unlike most
other forms of technical analysis, continually adapts to changing market conditions.
Note: Each phase is named in the order of the letters of the Greek Alphabet, starting
with Alpha and ending with Omega (being the first and last letter in the Greek alphabet).